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Topic 1: Trading Order Flow — The Introduction
Core Philosophy
By reading the order flow we see the market psychology — the fight between buyers and sellers. No other form of analysis shows how aggressive traders are in the market.
Why Technical Indicators Fail
- Novice traders look for systems with 80% win rates in backtesting
- They go live and lose everything
- Markets are psychological, not logical
- Emotions of traders dictate buying and selling, not mathematical formulas
- Price doesn't fall because a moving average says so — it falls because there are more sellers than buyers or because buyers left the market
Institutional Traders
- Work for major institutions, banks, hedge funds
- Trade with "big money"
- Cannot afford to be on the wrong side often (it costs them their jobs)
- Can see big trends coming BEFORE they happen
- Do NOT use technical indicators — they use their brains
- Their actions are reflected in the VOLUME after their trades
- Order flow traders can notice what is happening by reading this volume
What Order Flow Does
- Removes random trade decisions — no guessing
- Keeps you out of choppy markets — easier to profit in trending markets
- Shows aggression — how aggressive other traders are
- Precise entries and stop losses — know exactly where to enter and where to exit
- Detects supply/demand changes — know when to cut losses short
- Low risk trades — know the areas to get in and where the trade isn't working
- Anticipate direction changes — capitalize on opportunities as they happen