Topic 33: XAU/USD Orderflow and Supply Combined 2.0 (Video) — CRITICAL FOR GOLD BOT
Content Type: Video only (9:32) — Full transcript extracted
Video Transcript
Morning team. Yesterday we had that little breakdown of me with the order flow tools combined with Supply and Demand levels on Gold. This was that level right here — that hourly imbalance level. Okay, pretty nice and powerful level with the proper leg out and great imbalance. Okay, we broke down the structure, you know — the Delta, the volume, the stuff.
Early today we saw that price was bouncing off from this level, right? It was a little bit messy price action. But yeah, you know it was overnight Asian session — also another session we're looking to because of this messy stuff, you know.
But during the London session, during the opening of the London session, we saw volume coming into the market after this boom move to the upside right here. We saw that price yesterday left a nice imbalance in that sellers move. We took that M15 imbalance level with proper leg out again — same concept, same theory.
Price bounced in this level right here. Okay, you see that price made a new high right here. And during the London open, price tested this level deeper. Okay, so you can see the price broke back in the range.
So there was a powerful imbalance level again with proper leg out again — that liquidity thing from this level. Tested fully this level — never broke this imbalance — and after that we broke down to the downside, which we closed back in the price range. Which could be a valid confirmation on the lower timeframes for a possible short during that London session, you know.
We know gold moves during the New York but also a bit during the London session. That's also what I want to highlight in this little video right here. And we will compare the order flow tools again right now with this imbalance/Supply and Demand levels.
So we shift to M4 (tick chart) to see what's really happening on the order flow tools. Okay, yesterday's move right here left a nice imbalance. Bounce back in the demand level right here, then we bounced up. Nothing really interesting right here — only left a High. Which could be an indication for that liquidity move in this high area.
But what's really happening within this level? You can see that price bounced back — never really broke this level. And if we shift to the order flow tools and scale down to the M5 again, you can see there is something really interesting within this imbalance level.
This candle, this move represents this move right here. So you can see that we're pushing up a little bit. You can see big lots right here — 43, 45, 58, 37. And the Delta was pretty positive as well once we bounced up, you know. And we are traveling through that demand level. So the numbers were pretty positive. The volume was yeah, not that great but it was mid-volume, let's say mid-volume.
But as soon as price reaches that Supply — you can see that the numbers were changing. Okay, you can see the Delta was negative. Delta was shifting from a long period of time from positive to negative.
And after that you see the rejection of price again. So you see right here 37, 34 level. And after that we see that finished business on top. Okay, that's 0-1, 0-2 which is an indication that more than likely those institutional orders get filled — limit orders.
And they give pretty clear information. You can also see it happening right here. See right here — 0-1. So we have two confirmations that there's finished business on top, which is in this level right here. Okay, then you see the break of structure on the lower timeframes — that price bounces back in this area.
Yeah, the price breaks back in the range — which is even more confirmation. So the 49 was a pretty red number — so there was thinking that limit orders, you know. You can see it right here — after that you see 70, 17 which is equal number. After that, we saw again that this occurred — this is the break back in the price range with the number of 61, you know — which is a clear number of sell orders in the markets.
Okay, after that price continues to fall. You know, we see again a greater number 37 over to 22, you know — buy orders they filled, you know. Or this limit orders — at 37 area. So you can see that the candle is overall definitely filled with short orders.
It's a pretty small move if you compare yesterday, but keep in mind it's the London session, okay? Gold is a New York mover as well. But most of the time you have a move in the London session as well. So if that's the plan, you could trade the London session or you can focus yourself on one single move during the London session. It depends on what time zone you are.
But that is the idea. I want to show you two different separate sessions. Okay, so you can expect that the New York session is two, three times bigger because gold is New York, you know.
But during the London session like I said, we also see that move. And that move is from 1793 to 1786, which is equal to almost 70-80 pips — pretty nice as well.
If I show you that move from yesterday — let's do the M15 — you can see that was a move from the 1800 levels into the 1785 marks which is also a lot of pips — it's almost 150 pips something like that. So it was double the move. That's exactly what I said — save it just to compare the data with each other.
We can see an echo move, you know — so that's beautiful. If you apply the order flow tools, you know — if you're watching the footprint on the lower time frame (M5, M1, and M15), whatever your plan is. I usually use tick 1 or tick 2 on the tick chart.
You can see same information that I explained it. Yeah shortly, you know — you can see overall gold is filled with sell orders. You can see the finished business on top. We can see that increase from the Delta in the bias move and that decrease from the Delta from positive to negative numbers in our favor — in the sell move, you know.
Because see that volume was increasing after that. The volume was increasing, Delta numbers get stronger, get bigger — 59, 86, 184 and so on, you know.
Mark out your imbalance levels — your maximum targets within this price range. You can see that price is starting right here already. The more than likely the reason of that is that the price is again coming down in this level right here.
So this is not the best level if you ask me because it's tested multiple times — and we prefer FRESH levels. Example, this level was fresh. Example, this level was fresh. Example, this imbalance on the M15 was fresh — that last test that I explained in the last video about this.
So your focus should be on fresh levels. But could be your maximum target. To understand — you have to close trades on good price levels and you have to enter trades at good price levels.
Okay. So that is the explanation in this little video — the Delta, the volume, the footprint, the clusters. And the price of course — combined with the POC. You can also see the POC right here pushing that. So it's definitely a good area to at least close 70% of the profits — take it, you know. And let a little run if that's the plan, or close the door and wait for price to reach a new imbalance level.
Keep the footprint next to it. It's really really powerful — the Delta, the volume, and the footprint and the point of control. You know, hope this video helps. On to the next. Peace.
CRITICAL Key Takeaways for Gold Bot
Gold Session Behavior
- New York = primary gold session (2-3x bigger moves than London)
- London session also has valid gold moves (70-80 pips)
- New York gold moves = 150+ pips
- Asian session = messy PA, not ideal for gold entries
Gold Orderflow Entry Process
- Mark hourly and M15 imbalance levels with proper leg out
- Wait for price to return to imbalance level
- On M5/tick chart, watch Delta shift: positive→negative at supply = SELL
- Confirm "finished business" on footprint (0-1, 0-2 at top = sellers filled)
- Wait for break of structure on lower timeframes
- Enter on the break back into the range
Gold-Specific Numbers
- Contract lots on gold footprint: 37, 43, 45, 58 = significant
- Delta numbers getting stronger: 59, 86, 184 = institutional participation
- Red numbers (49, 61) at supply = sell orders flooding in
Trade Management for Gold
- Close 70% of profits at POC / imbalance target
- Let 30% runner continue
- Or close everything and wait for fresh imbalance level
Critical Rule: FRESH LEVELS ONLY
- Multi-tested levels are NOT ideal
- Always prefer FRESH M15/hourly imbalances
- Fresh level = never tested since creation
- Maximum target can be an older level, but ENTRY must be at fresh level
Tick Chart Setting for Gold
- Tick 1 or Tick 2 on tick chart for gold orderflow analysis