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Lesson 8: GC Gold — 17 Contracts on the Ask (London Session Trade)
Key Strategy Concepts
Morning Routine for Gold Trading
- Wake up, identify proper levels of imbalance
- Look for value area high territory + supply levels
- Check 5-minute chart for engulfing candles at key levels
Smaller Imbalance Still Works
- 19 contracts on the ask = still significant on gold
- Not the highest imbalance (70 total on ask) but enough for interest
- Combined with negative delta + volume changes = valid signal
The Complete Picture Approach
- Need BOTH technicals AND institutional tools combined:
- Technical: Liquidity spike / movement into the level
- Institutional: Contracts on ask/bid + delta shift + volume
Avoiding Low-Number Traps
- Some numbers are "pretty low" — avoid those
- Wait for price to absorb orders into HIGHER territory (value area high + maximum level)
- Then look for the spike/liquidity grab
The Fake Breakout Pattern (Again)
- Bullish candle breaks structure to upside — retail buys
- Inside that bullish candle: filled with SHORT orders on the ask (17 contracts)
- It's a liquidity move to dump price lower
- Retail stops get hit, institutional shorts get filled
Trade Execution
- Short entry after price pushed back into the range
- SL above the maximum level
- Price dropped 30+ pips
- Runner kept with SL at breakeven
- Target: Value area low (price fills entire ranges on gold)
- Potential further to 9010 area
Key Insight: Breakeven Trailing
- Move SL to breakeven once in profit
- Keep a runner for the full range target
- Gold typically fills entire ranges from value area high to value area low
Gold London Session Characteristics
- Identify levels at London open
- Wait for price to return to those levels
- Look for delta shifts + contract imbalances
- Even 17 contracts on the ask can signal a valid short at the right level