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Lesson 3: GC / Sellers on Top — Huge Imbalance 150-200 Contracts at Highs
Key Strategy Concepts
Setup: Equal Highs + Market Profile Value Area High + Round Number
- Equal highs matching value area high of market profile
- Round institutional number: 1885
- Price pushed up during London into NY session — buying on the bid
The Genius Chart Signal
- At equal highs: massive dump of market orders on the ASK side
- One whale / institution / multiple investors dumping sell orders
- Gold is a Safe Haven — institutions dump money in and out aggressively
- 150 to 200+ contracts traded on the ask at equal highs
- Combined with negative delta + high volume = institutional selling
Gold-Specific Behavior
- On gold: ONE spike up, then ONE spike down — very aggressive
- Not typical on other assets — gold has unique imbalance levels
- Lots of aggressive selling AND buying in terms of market orders
Entry Rules
- Equal highs + value area high + round number identified
- See 150-200+ contracts on the ask side (whale order)
- Delta confirms negative / selling
- Enter on 1-minute timeframe AFTER the liquidity push candle
- The "break of structure" bullish candle is NOT real — it's a liquidity push
- Stop loss: Above the imbalance (5-10 pips) — price won't go higher with those large orders
- Target: Value area low or failure area low (20-30+ pips)
Critical Insight: Fake Breakout Recognition
- Retail traders see "break of structure" to the upside
- In reality: it's a LIQUIDITY PUSH with 150-200 contracts being sold
- The footprint shows the truth — massive sell orders on the ask
- After the push: price dumps aggressively
Risk:Reward
- SL: 5-10 pips above the imbalance
- TP: 20-30 pips to value area low
- R:R = 3:1 to 6:1 on gold with these setups